Monitoring public opinion

UPOT (Ukrainian Public Opinion Tracking) is a monthly nationwide telephone survey of Ukraine's adult population. This page presents the key indicators for February–September 2026.

8survey waves
≈1,500respondents a month
±2.5%sampling error for n = 1,500

Consumer confidence index

The index combines four assessments: how the household's financial situation has changed over the past year, how it will change over the next, whether now is a good time for major purchases, and how much the respondent expects to spend on them. Values below zero mean pessimistic assessments outweigh optimistic ones.

Consumer confidence index, April–September 2026

Scale from −100 to +100; 0 = optimistic and pessimistic assessments in balance

−30−25−20−15−10−50AprMayJunJulAugSepCCI, Apr: −17.9CCI, May: −12.7CCI, Jun: −16.9CCI, Jul: −18.9CCI, Aug: −16.9CCI, Sep: −23.0−23.0−17.9−12.7−16.9−18.9−16.9−30−25−20−15−10−50AprMayJunJulAugSepCCI, Apr: −17.9CCI, May: −12.7CCI, Jun: −16.9CCI, Jul: −18.9CCI, Aug: −16.9CCI, Sep: −23.0−23.0
Source: UPOT monitoring, ITCCS Ukraine. Weighted data.
Show data as a table
MonthIndex95% CIN
Apr−17.9−20.0 … −15.91248
May−12.7−14.9 … −10.61285
Jun−16.9−19.1 … −14.61317
Jul−18.9−21.1 … −16.71323
Aug−16.9−19.1 … −14.71302
Sep−23.0−25.1 … −20.81338

The shaded band is the 95% confidence interval. The wording of the question on whether now is a good time for major purchases changed between May and June and again between July and August, so differences across those months may partly reflect the change in the instrument. August and September are fully comparable.

Household finances

In September, the share of people whose household finances worsened over the past 12 months rose to 51%, the highest since we began asking this question in April. Expectations for the coming year also deteriorated.

How has your household's financial situation changed over the past 12 months?

April–September 2026; bottom row: balance, pp

  • Improved
  • Worsened
60%40%20%0%20%40%60%Improved, Apr: 12%Worsened, Apr: 47%12%47%Apr−35Improved, May: 17%Worsened, May: 42%17%42%May−25Improved, Jun: 16%Worsened, Jun: 42%16%42%Jun−26Improved, Jul: 14%Worsened, Jul: 45%14%45%Jul−31Improved, Aug: 15%Worsened, Aug: 44%15%44%Aug−29Improved, Sep: 11%Worsened, Sep: 51%11%51%Sep−40Balance60%40%20%0%20%40%60%Improved, Apr: 12%Worsened, Apr: 47%12%47%Apr−35Improved, May: 17%Worsened, May: 42%17%42%May−25Improved, Jun: 16%Worsened, Jun: 42%16%42%Jun−26Improved, Jul: 14%Worsened, Jul: 45%14%45%Jul−31Improved, Aug: 15%Worsened, Aug: 44%15%44%Aug−29Improved, Sep: 11%Worsened, Sep: 51%11%51%Sep−40
Source: UPOT monitoring, ITCCS Ukraine. Weighted data.
Show data as a table
MonthImprovedWorsenedBalance
Apr12%47%−35
May17%42%−25
Jun16%42%−26
Jul14%45%−31
Aug15%44%−29
Sep11%51%−40

How will your household's financial situation change over the next 12 months?

April–September 2026; bottom row: balance, pp

  • Will improve
  • Will worsen
60%40%20%0%20%40%60%Will improve, Apr: 18%Will worsen, Apr: 30%18%30%Apr−11Will improve, May: 25%Will worsen, May: 26%25%26%May−1Will improve, Jun: 24%Will worsen, Jun: 25%24%25%Jun−2Will improve, Jul: 22%Will worsen, Jul: 30%22%30%Jul−8Will improve, Aug: 19%Will worsen, Aug: 32%19%32%Aug−13Will improve, Sep: 17%Will worsen, Sep: 38%17%38%Sep−20Balance60%40%20%0%20%40%60%Will improve, Apr: 18%Will worsen, Apr: 30%18%30%Apr−11Will improve, May: 25%Will worsen, May: 26%25%26%May−1Will improve, Jun: 24%Will worsen, Jun: 25%24%25%Jun−2Will improve, Jul: 22%Will worsen, Jul: 30%22%30%Jul−8Will improve, Aug: 19%Will worsen, Aug: 32%19%32%Aug−13Will improve, Sep: 17%Will worsen, Sep: 38%17%38%Sep−20
Source: UPOT monitoring, ITCCS Ukraine. Weighted data.
Show data as a table
MonthWill improveWill worsenBalance
Apr18%30%−11
May25%26%−1
Jun24%25%−2
Jul22%30%−8
Aug19%32%−13
Sep17%38%−20

“No change” answers are not shown but are included in the base. The balance is the share reporting improvement minus the share reporting deterioration.

Trust in institutions

Respondents rate their trust on a scale from −3 (“do not trust at all”) to +3 (“trust completely”). Among the institutions shown, the Armed Forces and the Ministry of Defence are the most trusted; the Verkhovna Rada and the Cabinet of Ministers the least.

Trust in state and public institutions, September 2026

Share who trust (+1…+3) and distrust (−3…−1); right: net score, pp

  • Trust
  • Distrust
DistrustTrustNetArmed Forces of UkraineArmed Forces of Ukraine: trust 93%Armed Forces of Ukraine: distrust 2%93%2%+91Ministry of DefenceMinistry of Defence: trust 67%Ministry of Defence: distrust 14%67%14%+54Security Service of UkraineSecurity Service of Ukraine: trust 60%Security Service of Ukraine: distrust 18%60%18%+42Local governmentLocal government: trust 43%Local government: distrust 34%43%34%+9Anti-corruption bodiesAnti-corruption bodies: trust 43%Anti-corruption bodies: distrust 34%43%34%+9National PoliceNational Police: trust 36%National Police: distrust 40%36%40%−4Ukrainian televisionUkrainian television: trust 28%Ukrainian television: distrust 45%28%45%−17CourtsCourts: trust 24%Courts: distrust 52%24%52%−28Cabinet of MinistersCabinet of Ministers: trust 19%Cabinet of Ministers: distrust 52%19%52%−33Verkhovna RadaVerkhovna Rada: trust 12%Verkhovna Rada: distrust 64%12%64%−52DistrustTrustNetArmed Forces ofUkraineArmed Forces of Ukraine: trust 93%Armed Forces of Ukraine: distrust 2%93%2%+91Ministry ofDefenceMinistry of Defence: trust 67%Ministry of Defence: distrust 14%67%14%+54Security Serviceof UkraineSecurity Service of Ukraine: trust 60%Security Service of Ukraine: distrust 18%60%18%+42Local governmentLocal government: trust 43%Local government: distrust 34%43%34%+9Anti-corruptionbodiesAnti-corruption bodies: trust 43%Anti-corruption bodies: distrust 34%43%34%+9National PoliceNational Police: trust 36%National Police: distrust 40%36%40%−4UkrainiantelevisionUkrainian television: trust 28%Ukrainian television: distrust 45%28%45%−17CourtsCourts: trust 24%Courts: distrust 52%24%52%−28Cabinet ofMinistersCabinet of Ministers: trust 19%Cabinet of Ministers: distrust 52%19%52%−33Verkhovna RadaVerkhovna Rada: trust 12%Verkhovna Rada: distrust 64%12%64%−52
Source: UPOT monitoring, ITCCS Ukraine. Weighted data.
Show data as a table
InstitutionTrustDistrustNet
Armed Forces of Ukraine93%2%+91
Ministry of Defence67%14%+54
Security Service of Ukraine60%18%+42
Local government43%34%+9
Anti-corruption bodies43%34%+9
National Police36%40%−4
Ukrainian television28%45%−17
Courts24%52%−28
Cabinet of Ministers19%52%−33
Verkhovna Rada12%64%−52

Trust means answers from +1 to +3; distrust, answers from −3 to −1. Neutral answers (0) are included in the base; “don't know” answers are not. Trust in the Ministry of Defence was first measured in September.

Trust in central government bodies

Net trust in the Verkhovna Rada (parliament) and the Cabinet of Ministers has remained deeply negative since February. After a modest improvement in spring and early summer, both fell again in August and September.

Net trust in central government bodies, February–September 2026

Share who trust minus share who distrust, pp

  • Cabinet of Ministers
  • Verkhovna Rada
−60−50−40−30−20−100FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepCabinet of Ministers, Feb: −31Cabinet of Ministers, Mar: −30Cabinet of Ministers, Apr: −27Cabinet of Ministers, May: −29Cabinet of Ministers, Jun: −23Cabinet of Ministers, Jul: −18Cabinet of Ministers, Aug: −29Cabinet of Ministers, Sep: −33Verkhovna Rada, Feb: −51Verkhovna Rada, Mar: −53Verkhovna Rada, Apr: −50Verkhovna Rada, May: −46Verkhovna Rada, Jun: −42Verkhovna Rada, Jul: −44Verkhovna Rada, Aug: −47Verkhovna Rada, Sep: −52−33Cabinet−52Rada−60−50−40−30−20−100FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepCabinet of Ministers, Feb: −31Cabinet of Ministers, Mar: −30Cabinet of Ministers, Apr: −27Cabinet of Ministers, May: −29Cabinet of Ministers, Jun: −23Cabinet of Ministers, Jul: −18Cabinet of Ministers, Aug: −29Cabinet of Ministers, Sep: −33Verkhovna Rada, Feb: −51Verkhovna Rada, Mar: −53Verkhovna Rada, Apr: −50Verkhovna Rada, May: −46Verkhovna Rada, Jun: −42Verkhovna Rada, Jul: −44Verkhovna Rada, Aug: −47Verkhovna Rada, Sep: −52−33Cabinet−52Rada
Source: UPOT monitoring, ITCCS Ukraine. Weighted data.
Show data as a table
MonthCabinet of MinistersVerkhovna Rada
Feb−31−51
Mar−30−53
Apr−27−50
May−29−46
Jun−23−42
Jul−18−44
Aug−29−47
Sep−33−52

Net trust is the share who trust minus the share who distrust, in percentage points.

About the survey

Computer-assisted telephone interviews (CATI) with a random sample of mobile numbers. The survey covers people aged 18 and over in all regions except the temporarily occupied territories and areas without stable Ukrainian mobile coverage. Data are weighted by age and settlement type. Fieldwork is carried out by Rating Group on behalf of ITCCS.

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